Outlooks – December 2025

Although federal reporting agencies have resumed operations following the government shutdown, market participants continue to operate with limited economic visibility. Because the shutdown spanned the entirety of October, critical real-time data — including the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI) and unemployment rate — were never collected, creating an unprecedented gap in the economic record. Compounding this issue, the data backlog has delayed November releases, in some cases by weeks, forcing investors to navigate a complex landscape using a patchwork of private data rather than a complete official dataset.

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